While we’re being ruthless, we also have to dismiss any other horse with too few or too many runs this season – even if they have good form this season. The theory being that you need to have proven recent fitness to last the distance in the National – but too many miles on the clock in the current campaign and there may not be enough petrol left in the tank.
Even allowing for the bad weather at the start of this year, you want a horse that has had more than two runs this season - with the most recent preferably within the last 49 days.
The following horses have had fewer than three runs and are therefore rejected on this basis:
Black Apalachi
Comply or Die
Nozic (not run for 103 days)
Pablo Du Charmil
Character Building
State of Play (not run for 133 days)
Flintoff (not run for 103 days)
Cerium
We can also reject the following horses that haven't been seen on-course in the last two months:
Maljimar - only 3 runs, not for 120 days
Irish Raptor - only 3 runs, not for 126 days
Royal Rosa - not run for 80 days
(In addition to Nozic, State of Play and Flintoff again)
About Me
- DizzyJB
- I have been obsessed with the Grand National ever since Aldaniti was my first winner in 1981, aged nine. This annual preview has actually been going since 1992, long before blogs and social media, proudly boasting a strike rate of over 60% from the final shortlist until 2008 (although that's dropped to 50% in the last decade!). Enjoy reading this year's edition, but bet on my tips at your peril - they come with all of the necessary caveats and wealth warnings. If you do decide to have a flutter good luck!
No comments:
Post a Comment